{ "ok": true, "mode": "archive", "date": "2026-04-13", "generatedAt": "2026-04-13T19:30:00-04:00", "archiveIndex": [ { "date": "2026-10-21", "generatedAt": "2026-10-21T12:14:51.927Z", "statusLabel": "Attacks reported; access uncertain", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent vessel attacks are reported, but these headlines alone do not establish whether all passage is closed or open." }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "generatedAt": "2026-10-21T03:04:11.450Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / disrupted", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent operational reporting indicates constrained passage. Reopening proposals do not establish that normal traffic has resumed." }, { "date": "2026-10-19", "generatedAt": "2026-10-20T03:35:57.823Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / disrupted", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent operational reporting indicates constrained passage. Reopening proposals do not establish that normal traffic has resumed." }, { "date": "2026-10-18", "generatedAt": "2026-10-18T12:05:28.506Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / disrupted", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent operational reporting indicates constrained passage. Reopening proposals do not establish that normal traffic has resumed." }, { "date": "2026-10-17", "generatedAt": "2026-10-18T00:00:28.184Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / disrupted", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent operational reporting indicates constrained passage. Reopening proposals do not establish that normal traffic has resumed." }, { "date": "2026-10-16", "generatedAt": "2026-10-17T00:05:27.456Z", "statusLabel": "Attacks reported; access uncertain", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent vessel attacks are reported, but these headlines alone do not establish whether all passage is closed or open." }, { "date": "2026-10-15", "generatedAt": "2026-10-16T00:05:26.909Z", "statusLabel": "Attacks reported; access uncertain", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent vessel attacks are reported, but these headlines alone do not establish whether all passage is closed or open." }, { "date": "2026-10-14", "generatedAt": "2026-10-15T00:00:26.330Z", "statusLabel": "Attacks reported; access uncertain", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent vessel attacks are reported, but these headlines alone do not establish whether all passage is closed or open." }, { "date": "2026-10-13", "generatedAt": "2026-10-14T00:00:25.711Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / disrupted", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent operational reporting indicates constrained passage. Reopening proposals do not establish that normal traffic has resumed." }, { "date": "2026-10-12", "generatedAt": "2026-10-13T00:00:25.386Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / disrupted", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent operational reporting indicates constrained passage. Reopening proposals do not establish that normal traffic has resumed." }, { "date": "2026-10-11", "generatedAt": "2026-10-12T00:05:23.829Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / disrupted", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent operational reporting indicates constrained passage. Reopening proposals do not establish that normal traffic has resumed." }, { "date": "2026-10-10", "generatedAt": "2026-10-11T00:00:24.373Z", "statusLabel": "Passage reported; recent attacks", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Reporting indicates resumed passage, alongside vessel attacks in the last seven days. This is not a navigation or safety clearance." }, { "date": "2026-10-09", "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T00:05:22.517Z", "statusLabel": "Passage reported; recent attacks", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Reporting indicates resumed passage, alongside vessel attacks in the last seven days. This is not a navigation or safety clearance." }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:22.407Z", "statusLabel": "Passage reported; recent attacks", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Reporting indicates resumed passage, alongside vessel attacks in the last seven days. This is not a navigation or safety clearance." }, { "date": "2026-10-07", "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T00:05:21.577Z", "statusLabel": "Attacks reported; access uncertain", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent vessel attacks are reported, but these headlines alone do not establish whether all passage is closed or open." }, { "date": "2026-10-06", "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T00:05:21.102Z", "statusLabel": "Attacks reported; access uncertain", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent vessel attacks are reported, but these headlines alone do not establish whether all passage is closed or open." }, { "date": "2026-10-05", "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T00:03:45.791Z", "statusLabel": "Attacks reported; access uncertain", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent vessel attacks are reported, but these headlines alone do not establish whether all passage is closed or open." }, { "date": "2026-10-04", "generatedAt": "2026-10-05T00:00:19.513Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / disrupted", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent operational reporting indicates constrained passage. Reopening proposals do not establish that normal traffic has resumed." }, { "date": "2026-10-03", "generatedAt": "2026-10-04T00:05:19.757Z", "statusLabel": "Passage reported; recent attacks", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Reporting indicates resumed passage, alongside vessel attacks in the last seven days. This is not a navigation or safety clearance." }, { "date": "2026-10-02", "generatedAt": "2026-10-03T00:05:17.937Z", "statusLabel": "Passage reported; recent attacks", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Reporting indicates resumed passage, alongside vessel attacks in the last seven days. This is not a navigation or safety clearance." }, { "date": "2026-10-01", "generatedAt": "2026-10-02T00:00:17.539Z", "statusLabel": "Passage reported; recent attacks", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Reporting indicates resumed passage, alongside vessel attacks in the last seven days. This is not a navigation or safety clearance." }, { "date": "2026-09-30", "generatedAt": "2026-10-01T00:05:17.793Z", "statusLabel": "Passage reported; recent attacks", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Reporting indicates resumed passage, alongside vessel attacks in the last seven days. This is not a navigation or safety clearance." }, { "date": "2026-09-29", "generatedAt": "2026-09-30T00:00:17.360Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / disrupted", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent operational reporting indicates constrained passage. Reopening proposals do not establish that normal traffic has resumed." }, { "date": "2026-09-28", "generatedAt": "2026-09-29T00:05:15.496Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / disrupted", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent operational reporting indicates constrained passage. Reopening proposals do not establish that normal traffic has resumed." }, { "date": "2026-09-27", "generatedAt": "2026-09-28T00:05:14.705Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / disrupted", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent operational reporting indicates constrained passage. Reopening proposals do not establish that normal traffic has resumed." }, { "date": "2026-09-26", "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T00:00:14.336Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / disrupted", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent operational reporting indicates constrained passage. Reopening proposals do not establish that normal traffic has resumed." }, { "date": "2026-09-25", "generatedAt": "2026-09-26T00:14:30.258Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / disrupted", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Recent operational reporting indicates constrained passage. Reopening proposals do not establish that normal traffic has resumed." }, { "date": "2026-09-24", "generatedAt": "2026-09-24T17:10:06.001Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-09-23", "generatedAt": "2026-09-23T17:05:05.006Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-22", "generatedAt": "2026-09-22T17:05:05.762Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-09-21", "generatedAt": "2026-09-21T17:05:03.641Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-20", "generatedAt": "2026-09-20T17:10:03.117Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-09-19", "generatedAt": "2026-09-19T17:05:02.379Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-18", "generatedAt": "2026-09-18T17:10:01.885Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-17", "generatedAt": "2026-09-17T17:05:01.071Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-09-16", "generatedAt": "2026-09-16T17:05:00.560Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-15", "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T17:04:59.806Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-14", "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T17:09:59.185Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-09-13", "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T17:09:58.733Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-12", "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T17:04:58.009Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-11", "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T17:04:57.120Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-09-10", "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T17:09:59.633Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-09", "generatedAt": "2026-09-09T17:04:55.954Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-08", "generatedAt": "2026-09-08T17:04:55.254Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-09-07", "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T17:04:54.832Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-06", "generatedAt": "2026-09-06T17:09:53.973Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-05", "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T17:09:53.321Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-04", "generatedAt": "2026-09-04T17:09:53.163Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-03", "generatedAt": "2026-09-03T17:04:52.145Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-09-02", "generatedAt": "2026-09-02T17:04:51.505Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-09-01", "generatedAt": "2026-09-01T17:09:50.943Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-31", "generatedAt": "2026-08-31T17:09:50.084Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-30", "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T17:09:49.449Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-08-29", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T17:09:36.051Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-08-28", "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T17:09:48.148Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-27", "generatedAt": "2026-08-27T17:09:47.575Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-26", "generatedAt": "2026-08-26T17:09:47.333Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "As of April 23, 2026, the newest publicly available reporting still points to a badly disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after ships were fired upon, while Reuters reporting on April 21 said traffic remained effectively closed in practice. The dashboard keeps a separate warning state whenever reopening language overlaps with violence or seizures." }, { "date": "2026-08-25", "generatedAt": "2026-08-25T17:04:46.694Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-24", "generatedAt": "2026-08-24T17:04:45.546Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-23", "generatedAt": "2026-08-23T17:09:45.002Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-22", "generatedAt": "2026-08-22T17:09:44.237Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "generatedAt": "2026-08-21T17:04:43.504Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-20", "generatedAt": "2026-08-20T17:04:42.943Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-08-19", "generatedAt": "2026-08-19T17:09:42.367Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-18", "generatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:09:41.817Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-17", "generatedAt": "2026-08-17T17:09:41.037Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-16", "generatedAt": "2026-08-16T17:09:40.266Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-15", "generatedAt": "2026-08-15T17:04:39.633Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "generatedAt": "2026-08-14T17:04:39.056Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-13", "generatedAt": "2026-08-13T17:04:38.465Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "As of April 23, 2026, the newest publicly available reporting still points to a badly disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after ships were fired upon, while Reuters reporting on April 21 said traffic remained effectively closed in practice. The dashboard keeps a separate warning state whenever reopening language overlaps with violence or seizures." }, { "date": "2026-08-12", "generatedAt": "2026-08-12T17:09:37.844Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "As of April 23, 2026, the newest publicly available reporting still points to a badly disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after ships were fired upon, while Reuters reporting on April 21 said traffic remained effectively closed in practice. The dashboard keeps a separate warning state whenever reopening language overlaps with violence or seizures." }, { "date": "2026-08-11", "generatedAt": "2026-08-11T17:04:39.002Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-10", "generatedAt": "2026-08-10T17:05:37.159Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-09", "generatedAt": "2026-08-09T17:04:36.703Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-08", "generatedAt": "2026-08-08T17:09:34.939Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "generatedAt": "2026-08-07T17:41:39.510Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-06", "generatedAt": "2026-08-06T17:44:33.987Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-05", "generatedAt": "2026-08-05T17:44:33.452Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-08-04", "generatedAt": "2026-08-04T17:49:32.703Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-03", "generatedAt": "2026-08-03T17:49:31.937Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-02", "generatedAt": "2026-08-02T17:49:31.552Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-01", "generatedAt": "2026-08-01T17:49:30.657Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "generatedAt": "2026-07-31T17:49:30.039Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-30", "generatedAt": "2026-07-30T17:49:29.390Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-29", "generatedAt": "2026-07-29T17:49:28.719Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-28", "generatedAt": "2026-07-28T17:49:28.104Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-27", "generatedAt": "2026-07-27T17:49:27.559Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-26", "generatedAt": "2026-07-26T17:44:26.665Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-25", "generatedAt": "2026-07-25T17:44:26.523Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "generatedAt": "2026-07-25T01:56:46.475Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-23", "generatedAt": "2026-07-23T17:44:24.857Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-22", "generatedAt": "2026-07-22T17:34:27.364Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-21", "generatedAt": "2026-07-21T17:29:23.787Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-20", "generatedAt": "2026-07-20T17:24:22.908Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-19", "generatedAt": "2026-07-19T17:14:22.104Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-18", "generatedAt": "2026-07-18T17:14:21.640Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "generatedAt": "2026-07-17T17:09:21.059Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-16", "generatedAt": "2026-07-16T17:04:20.307Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-15", "generatedAt": "2026-07-15T16:59:19.809Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-14", "generatedAt": "2026-07-14T16:49:19.087Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-13", "generatedAt": "2026-07-13T16:44:18.211Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-12", "generatedAt": "2026-07-12T16:34:17.864Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-11", "generatedAt": "2026-07-11T16:24:17.030Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "generatedAt": "2026-07-10T16:14:16.556Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-09", "generatedAt": "2026-07-09T16:04:15.804Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-08", "generatedAt": "2026-07-09T03:59:15.398Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-07", "generatedAt": "2026-07-08T03:49:14.858Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-06", "generatedAt": "2026-07-07T03:44:14.112Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-05", "generatedAt": "2026-07-06T03:44:13.475Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-04", "generatedAt": "2026-07-05T03:39:12.793Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "As of April 23, 2026, the newest publicly available reporting still points to a badly disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after ships were fired upon, while Reuters reporting on April 21 said traffic remained effectively closed in practice. The dashboard keeps a separate warning state whenever reopening language overlaps with violence or seizures." }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "generatedAt": "2026-07-04T03:34:12.136Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-02", "generatedAt": "2026-07-03T03:29:11.491Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-01", "generatedAt": "2026-07-02T03:19:11.079Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "As of April 23, 2026, the newest publicly available reporting still points to a badly disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after ships were fired upon, while Reuters reporting on April 21 said traffic remained effectively closed in practice. The dashboard keeps a separate warning state whenever reopening language overlaps with violence or seizures." }, { "date": "2026-06-30", "generatedAt": "2026-07-01T03:09:10.294Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-29", "generatedAt": "2026-06-30T02:59:09.684Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-28", "generatedAt": "2026-06-29T02:54:09.040Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-27", "generatedAt": "2026-06-28T02:44:08.267Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "generatedAt": "2026-06-27T02:39:07.616Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-25", "generatedAt": "2026-06-26T02:29:07.132Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-24", "generatedAt": "2026-06-25T02:14:06.715Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-23", "generatedAt": "2026-06-24T02:09:05.642Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-22", "generatedAt": "2026-06-23T02:04:04.940Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-21", "generatedAt": "2026-06-22T01:54:04.460Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-20", "generatedAt": "2026-06-21T01:44:03.720Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "generatedAt": "2026-06-20T01:34:03.034Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-06-18", "generatedAt": "2026-06-19T01:24:02.562Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "generatedAt": "2026-06-18T01:17:15.978Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-16", "generatedAt": "2026-06-17T01:14:01.061Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-06-15", "generatedAt": "2026-06-16T01:04:00.399Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-06-14", "generatedAt": "2026-06-15T00:58:28.348Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-13", "generatedAt": "2026-06-14T00:48:59.188Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "generatedAt": "2026-06-13T00:43:58.454Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-11", "generatedAt": "2026-06-12T00:41:00.908Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-10", "generatedAt": "2026-06-11T00:33:57.387Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-09", "generatedAt": "2026-06-10T00:28:56.754Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-08", "generatedAt": "2026-06-09T00:22:19.824Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-07", "generatedAt": "2026-06-08T00:09:30.253Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-06", "generatedAt": "2026-06-07T00:03:54.953Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "generatedAt": "2026-06-06T00:00:47.069Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-04", "generatedAt": "2026-06-04T23:56:07.632Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-03", "generatedAt": "2026-06-03T23:47:22.015Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-02", "generatedAt": "2026-06-02T23:37:55.016Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "As of April 23, 2026, the newest publicly available reporting still points to a badly disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after ships were fired upon, while Reuters reporting on April 21 said traffic remained effectively closed in practice. The dashboard keeps a separate warning state whenever reopening language overlaps with violence or seizures." }, { "date": "2026-06-01", "generatedAt": "2026-06-01T23:31:54.196Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-05-31", "generatedAt": "2026-05-31T23:27:53.837Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-05-30", "generatedAt": "2026-05-30T23:22:38.494Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "generatedAt": "2026-05-29T23:17:37.807Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-04-26", "generatedAt": "2026-04-26T05:08:28.177Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-04-25", "generatedAt": "2026-04-26T01:02:02.810Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "generatedAt": "2026-04-25T00:59:56.220Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-04-23", "generatedAt": "2026-04-24T00:56:39.274Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-04-22", "generatedAt": "2026-04-22T20:10:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Gunfire against merchant vessels overlapped with lingering reopening language, producing the dashboard's warning-state phrasing." }, { "date": "2026-04-21", "generatedAt": "2026-04-21T20:05:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Reporting that only three ships passed through the previous 24 hours pushed the dashboard back into practical-closure territory." }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "generatedAt": "2026-04-17T18:15:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Iran publicly said passage was completely open, but security reporting and insurance pricing never returned to normal." }, { "date": "2026-04-15", "generatedAt": "2026-04-15T20:00:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Mine-clearing estimates and convoy constraints pushed the dashboard back into a practical-closure posture." }, { "date": "2026-04-13", "generatedAt": "2026-04-13T19:30:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Public reopening language briefly outran operator confidence. Merchant traffic was inching back, but shipowners still priced the route as a war-risk transit." } ], "snapshot": { "date": "2026-04-13", "generatedAt": "2026-04-13T19:30:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Public reopening language briefly outran operator confidence. Merchant traffic was inching back, but shipowners still priced the route as a war-risk transit.", "headlineHighlights": [ { "title": "Partial traffic restart draws mixed operator response", "link": "https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/", "source": "Reuters" }, { "title": "War-risk surcharges remain elevated for Gulf-bound tonnage", "link": "https://www.lmalloyds.com/LMA/Underwriting/Marine/JWC_Hulls_List.aspx", "source": "Lloyd's market" } ], "marketSummary": [ { "label": "WTI", "value": "$82.7/bbl", "context": "up on reopening skepticism" }, { "label": "Brent", "value": "$86.1/bbl", "context": "risk premium still embedded" }, { "label": "VLCC", "value": "$146k/day", "context": "owners still demanding wartime pricing" } ], "costBand": { "low": "$49.3B", "mid": "$58.6B", "high": "$81.0B" }, "casualties": { "civilian": "1,520+", "military": "1,441+", "mixed": "2,102+" }, "notes": [ "This snapshot preserves the dashboard's warning-phase reading from the first partial reopening wave.", "It is a seeded historical snapshot, not a replay from a database." ] }, "bootstrap": { "appTitle": "Hormuz Watch", "seededAt": "2026-08-10T20:30:00-04:00", "warStartDate": "2026-02-28T00:00:00Z", "methodologyNote": "This dashboard combines automatic headline monitoring with dated, source-linked reference figures. Strait status is a headline-based assessment, not a navigation advisory. Oil prices and U.S. stocks refresh automatically; other reserve figures, official statements, freight and insurance references require editorial review. Spending is a scenario calculation, not measured expenditure. Casualties are dated reported lower bounds, not a current total. Each module shows its source date and limitations.", "strait": { "currentStatusCode": "restricted", "currentStatus": "Restricted / effectively closed", "tone": "danger", "summary": "As of August 10, 2026, the Strait remains severely restricted in practice. Iran says it will not reopen the waterway until the United States meets broad conditions, traffic remains sharply reduced, and a commercial vessel was struck east of Khasab on August 8 while route negotiations continued.", "facts": [ "The Associated Press reported on August 10 that Iran would not reopen the Strait until the United States met its conditions.", "The Associated Press reported that an ADNOC-owned vessel was attacked on August 8 and UKMTO described a projectile strike and onboard fire east of Khasab, Oman.", "Iran-Oman negotiations still contemplate controlled inbound and outbound routes, but no final reopening agreement has taken effect." ], "bootstrapHeadlines": [ { "id": "seed-1", "title": "Iran says the Strait of Hormuz will not reopen until the U.S. meets its conditions", "link": "https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-strait-hormuz-august-10-2026-0bdaae8f1d7b781918e76dca4317c897", "pubDate": "Mon, 10 Aug 2026 18:00:00 GMT", "description": "Iran tied reopening to an end to the blockade, sanctions relief, frozen assets, and compensation for war damage.", "source": "Associated Press" }, { "id": "seed-2", "title": "Iran makes new strait demands as the UAE says a ship was targeted", "link": "https://apnews.com/article/yemen-houthis-turkey-kurdish-peace-mideast-roundup-aug-8-2026-feb75871fb82c44b3f7fd0ee02bb24b4", "pubDate": "Sat, 08 Aug 2026 10:41:36 GMT", "description": "An ADNOC-owned vessel was attacked while transiting; UKMTO separately reported a projectile strike and fire east of Khasab.", "source": "Associated Press" }, { "id": "seed-3", "title": "Iran and Oman make progress on a controlled two-route navigation plan", "link": "https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-war-strait-hormuz-oman-diplomacy-6587f90f2ab5beec373ce5fabf637541", "pubDate": "Tue, 04 Aug 2026 16:17:23 GMT", "description": "Negotiations described an Iranian-controlled inbound route and an Omani-controlled outbound route, but officials said no final agreement had been reached.", "source": "Associated Press" } ], "sources": [ { "label": "Associated Press - Iran maintains reopening conditions", "url": "https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-strait-hormuz-august-10-2026-0bdaae8f1d7b781918e76dca4317c897", "date": "2026-08-10" }, { "label": "Associated Press - August 8 vessel attack and new demands", "url": "https://apnews.com/article/yemen-houthis-turkey-kurdish-peace-mideast-roundup-aug-8-2026-feb75871fb82c44b3f7fd0ee02bb24b4", "date": "2026-08-08" }, { "label": "Associated Press - Iran-Oman route negotiations", "url": "https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-war-strait-hormuz-oman-diplomacy-6587f90f2ab5beec373ce5fabf637541", "date": "2026-08-04" } ] }, "quotes": [], "marketSignals": [ { "key": "wti", "label": "WTI Front-Month", "value": 89.4, "displayValue": "$89.4/bbl", "changeText": "+3.8% day-on-day", "tone": "warning", "summary": "Headline-sensitive proxy for how much the market is pricing Hormuz disruption into U.S.-linked crude.", "sourceLabel": "Reuters / Investing oil market wrap", "sourceUrl": "https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/us-oil-prices-rise-as-usiran-peace-talks-remain-uncertain-4627899", "asOf": "2026-04-23T08:00:00-04:00" }, { "key": "brent", "label": "Brent Front-Month", "value": 92.6, "displayValue": "$92.6/bbl", "changeText": "+3.2% day-on-day", "tone": "warning", "summary": "Global crude benchmark most directly exposed to a Hormuz shipping shock.", "sourceLabel": "Reuters / Investing oil market wrap", "sourceUrl": "https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/us-oil-prices-rise-as-usiran-peace-talks-remain-uncertain-4627899", "asOf": "2026-04-23T08:00:00-04:00" }, { "key": "vlcc", "label": "VLCC Gulf Day Rate", "value": 165000, "displayValue": "about $165k/day risk premium", "changeText": "Gulf loading premium versus Oman", "tone": "danger", "summary": "A July shipping-market assessment put the Gulf-loading VLCC premium near $165,000 per day, down from roughly $370,000 at the early-May peak but still extreme.", "sourceLabel": "Breakwave Advisors shipping-market assessment", "sourceUrl": "https://www.breakwaveadvisors.com/insights/2026/7/8/irans-latest-challenge-to-us-backed-hormuz-corridor-unlikely-to-change-risk-calculus", "asOf": "2026-07-08T12:00:00-04:00" }, { "key": "insurance", "label": "War-Risk Insurance", "value": 2500000, "displayValue": "up to $2.5M per VLCC voyage", "changeText": "reported single-voyage additional premium", "tone": "danger", "summary": "Reported war-risk quotes remained as high as $2.5 million for one VLCC voyage versus roughly $125,000 in peacetime; actual quotes vary by vessel, flag, ownership, route, and day.", "sourceLabel": "Straits market tracker with JWC context", "sourceUrl": "https://straits.live/strait-of-hormuz-war-risk-insurance-rate", "asOf": "2026-07-26T12:00:00Z" } ], "incidents": [], "energyReserves": [], "spending": { "title": "Approximate U.S. war spending", "displayScenario": "low", "summary": "Scenario range, not measured expenditure. The low case follows a third-party ticker. The dashboard's middle case uses a CSIS opening-period estimate plus its own assumed daily rate, not a CSIS current-war estimate. The high case extends the Pentagon-reported opening rate as a stress test. None reflects a verified current operating tempo.", "scenarios": { "low": { "key": "low", "label": "Low", "estimateMode": "Iran Cost Tracker low case", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 11300000000, "knownDays": 6, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1000000000, "whyThisNumber": "Uses the methodology cited on iran-cost-ticker.com: $11.3B for the first six days, then a lower ongoing burn rate of $1B/day.", "warning": "Third-party model, not an official U.S. ledger.", "sources": [ { "label": "Iran War Cost Tracker methodology", "url": "https://iran-cost-ticker.com/", "date": "2026-04-23" }, { "label": "Defense News - first six days cost $11.3B", "url": "https://www.defensenews.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/03/12/price-tag-for-epic-fury-tops-11-billion-in-first-six-days-pentagon-tells-congress/", "date": "2026-03-12" } ] }, "mid": { "key": "mid", "label": "Mid", "estimateMode": "Dashboard mid-case: CSIS starting point, assumed ongoing rate", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 16500000000, "knownDays": 12, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1150000000, "whyThisNumber": "Starts from the CSIS day-12 update and then assumes a still-elevated but lower sustained-operations burn rate instead of keeping the opening surge forever.", "warning": "Analytic mid-case for directional planning, not an official total.", "sources": [ { "label": "CSIS day-12 war cost update", "url": "https://www.csis.org/analysis/iran-war-cost-estimate-update-113-billion-day-6-165-billion-day-12", "date": "2026-03-13" }, { "label": "Defense News - first six days cost $11.3B", "url": "https://www.defensenews.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/03/12/price-tag-for-epic-fury-tops-11-billion-in-first-six-days-pentagon-tells-congress/", "date": "2026-03-12" } ] }, "high": { "key": "high", "label": "High", "estimateMode": "Pentagon-derived opening-surge stress case", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 11300000000, "knownDays": 6, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1883333333, "whyThisNumber": "Uses the Pentagon-reported opening burn rate from the first six days as a high-side stress case for what costs look like if elevated operating tempo persists.", "warning": "Useful as a ceiling scenario, but very likely too high for a long-run central estimate.", "sources": [ { "label": "Defense News - first six days cost $11.3B", "url": "https://www.defensenews.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/03/12/price-tag-for-epic-fury-tops-11-billion-in-first-six-days-pentagon-tells-congress/", "date": "2026-03-12" } ] } } }, "casualties": { "asOf": "2026-07-26T00:00:00Z", "civilianLowerBound": 1746, "militaryLowerBound": 1281, "unresolvedOrMixed": 5171, "summary": "These are minimum source-linked buckets, not a single authoritative death toll. Iran's detailed April split is retained because newer official totals do not cleanly separate civilians and military personnel; Lebanon and other mixed counts remain unresolved rather than being guessed into a category.", "breakdown": [ { "side": "Iran", "civilian": 1701, "military": 1221, "other": 714, "note": "HRANA's detailed April 7 split. A newer Iranian Health Ministry total does not provide a compatible civilian/military split." }, { "side": "Israel", "civilian": 26, "military": 40, "other": 0, "note": "26 civilians reported in the direct Iran front; about 40 soldiers and a contractor reported killed on the Lebanon/northern Israel front by August 6." }, { "side": "United States", "civilian": 0, "military": 18, "other": 0, "note": "AP reported 18 acknowledged U.S. troop deaths by late July, including four moved by the Pentagon into a separate Overseas Operations category." }, { "side": "Lebanon / Hezbollah front", "civilian": null, "military": null, "other": 4319, "note": "July 8 compiled total; source material did not provide a reliable Hezbollah/civilian split, so the entire count remains unresolved here." }, { "side": "Iraq and other regional spillover", "civilian": null, "military": null, "other": 119, "note": "July 8 compiled count includes mixed PMF, civilian, security, and other categories." }, { "side": "Gulf states and Syria", "civilian": 19, "military": 2, "other": 19, "note": "Named public totals across Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Syria; unclear and crash-related deaths remain in the mixed column." } ], "sources": [ { "label": "JINSA July 7-8 regional casualty compilation", "url": "https://jinsa.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/Iran-War-Update-7.8.26.pdf", "date": "2026-07-08" }, { "label": "AP - Pentagon recategorized four of 18 acknowledged U.S. troop deaths", "url": "https://apnews.com/article/iran-war-casualty-count-pentagon-us-troops-4c578fc74746052627b1c87845fdc0d5", "date": "2026-07-26" }, { "label": "Al Jazeera country-by-country tracker citing ministries and military authorities", "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/1/us-israel-attacks-on-iran-death-toll-and-injuries-live-tracker", "date": "2026-06-10" } ] }, "archiveAutomation": { "storageMode": "blob", "durable": true } } }